Capacity expansions to slow China aluminum inventory declines

China’s aluminum stocks have been falling for three months running, but the pace will slow down due to robust growth in new capacity, Shanghai Metals Market notes.

On the supply side, the scale of aluminum production cuts will be small this year due to falling production costs. Some 2-3 million tonnes of cost-effective new capacity will come on stream in H2, SMM statistics found.

Slowing consumption will exacerbate oversupply pressure in H2, SMM’s aluminum research team said.

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